Kalshi
Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?
Before 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it an 80% chance. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 80%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $0
- Closes
- August 1, 2028
The odds
- Yes80%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:14 AM9:14 PM9:14 AM80% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.