Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Before Nov 3, 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 98% chance. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $323K in all.

Chance of Yes: 98%
24 hours: down 3 pts
Traded today: $20
Traded in all: $323K
Closes: November 3, 2026

The odds

Yes98%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:18 AM7:18 PM7:18 AM98% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

<iframe src="https://parlaythepeople.com/embed/market/k-kxcabillionairetax-26nov03/" width="100%" height="190" style="border:0;max-width:420px" loading="lazy" title="Odds from Parlay the People"></iframe>

See this market on Kalshi →

More policy and the economy markets

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?35%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?32%
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?4%
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?6%
Deportations in 2026?Above 200,000 99%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 4.25% 73%
Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?40%
How high will inflation get in 2026?Above 4.5% 13%

Every policy and the economy market →

Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.