Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

Before 2029

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 12% chance. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $105K in all.

Chance of Yes: 12%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $105K
Closes: January 1, 2029

The odds

Yes12%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:00 AM10:00 PM10:00 AM12% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.