Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

Before 2029

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 23% chance. $71 traded in the last 24 hours, $42K in all.

Chance of Yes: 23%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $71
Traded in all: $42K
Closes: January 1, 2029

The odds

Yes23%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:18 AM7:18 PM7:18 AM23% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.