Republican · MT
Aaron Flint
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Aaron Flint (Republican) a 65% chance of winning the 2026 MT-01 House race (Kalshi 66%, Polymarket 63%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MT-01 House race | 65% | 66% | 63% | ▲ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.3M
- Spent
- $801K
- Cash on hand
- $502K
- Outside groups for
- $1.6M
- Outside groups against
- $365K
Through June 30, 2026. $824K from individuals, $331K from PACs. FEC filings for Aaron Flint →
Polls
In the 2026 MT-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Aaron Flint at 44% against Sam Forstag at 45%, from 4 polls (newest ended 2026-09-24).
Social buzz
13K interactions with posts about Aaron Flint in the last 24 hours from 27 people; 61% of posts read as positive, up 52% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Sam Forstag35%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
