Democrat · MT
Sam Forstag
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sam Forstag (Democrat) a 35% chance of winning the 2026 MT-01 House race (Kalshi 34%, Polymarket 37%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MT-01 House race | 35% | 34% | 37% | ▼ 5¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.4M
- Spent
- $833K
- Cash on hand
- $550K
- Outside groups for
- $539K
- Outside groups against
- $1.5M
Through June 30, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $141K from PACs, $1K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Samuel Kelley Forstag →
Polls
In the 2026 MT-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Sam Forstag at 45% against Aaron Flint at 44%, from 4 polls (newest ended 2026-09-24).
Social buzz
32K interactions with posts about Sam Forstag in the last 24 hours from 43 people; 63% of posts read as positive, down 52% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Aaron Flint65%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
