Democrat · NV
Aaron Ford
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Aaron Ford (Democrat) a 50% chance of winning the 2026 Nevada governor race (Kalshi 48%, Polymarket 52%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Nevada governor race | 50% | 48% | 52% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Nevada governor race, the Parlay polling average has Aaron Ford at 44% against Joe Lombardo at 42%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-08).
Social buzz
27K interactions with posts about Aaron Ford in the last 24 hours from 59 people; 80% of posts read as positive, down 21% on last week.
- Happening on Wednesday! Pete Buttigieg will be in Las Vegas for a conversation on economic issues with Aaron Ford, Sandra Jauregui, and Steven Horsford 👏 RSVP here: Nerdy Pursuit 🐉 · tweet
- At a town hall on Sept. 28, a voter asked Attorney General Aaron Ford to provide context on the ads Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo has been airing, claiming Ford has spent 420 days out of office. Ford, who’s challenging Lo NevadanNews · tiktok-video
- Aaron Ford says he is tough on crime, but he sponsored clemency for a man who shot and killed a pregnant woman and her unborn child while out on bail for armed robberies. Ford’s sponsorship put that case before the Pardo Joe Lombardo · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Joe Lombardo51%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
