Republican · NV
Joe Lombardo
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Joe Lombardo (Republican) a 44% chance of winning the 2026 Nevada governor race (Kalshi 47%, Polymarket 42%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Nevada governor race | 44% | 47% | 42% | ▼ 3¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Nevada governor race, the Parlay polling average has Joe Lombardo at 42% against Aaron Ford at 44%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-08).
Social buzz
45K interactions with posts about Joe Lombardo in the last 24 hours from 64 people; 58% of posts read as positive, down 28% on last week.
- Gov. Joe Lombardo wants Secretary of State Francisco Aguilar to collaborate with the federal government to verify the citizenship status of Nevada’s registered voters. READ MORE: Las Vegas Review-Journal · tweet
- Forest Service Staff Leaves Before Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo Speaks at Tahoe Summit DuhBraux · reddit-post
- Under the Lombardo-Trump economy, the cost of housing has exponentially increased. In Clark County, 15% of the homes are owned by corporations. Joe Lombardo vetoed the bill that would've stopped corporations from buying Aaron D. Ford · tiktok-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Aaron Ford56%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
