What are Abe Hamadeh's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Abe Hamadeh a 84% chance (Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 85%).

How much money has Abe Hamadeh raised?

Abe Hamadeh's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $384K cash on hand, through July 1, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AZ

Abe Hamadeh

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Abe Hamadeh (Republican) a 84% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-08 House race (Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 85%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-08 House race	84%	83%	85%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.2M
Spent: $859K
Cash on hand: $384K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 1, 2026. $559K from individuals, $270K from PACs. FEC filings for Abraham Hamadeh →

Running against

Bernadette Greene-Placentia16%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.