What are Bernadette Greene-Placentia's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bernadette Greene-Placentia a 16% chance (Kalshi 17%, Polymarket 15%).

How much money has Bernadette Greene-Placentia raised?

Bernadette Greene-Placentia's campaign has raised $209K and has $190K cash on hand, through March 31, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · AZ

Bernadette Greene-Placentia

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bernadette Greene-Placentia (Democrat) a 16% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-08 House race (Kalshi 17%, Polymarket 15%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-08 House race	16%	17%	15%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $209K
Spent: $18K
Cash on hand: $190K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through March 31, 2026. $209K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Bernadette Greene Placentia →

Running against

Abe Hamadeh84%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.