Democrat · KS
Adam Hamilton
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Adam Hamilton (Democrat) a 34% chance of winning the 2026 Kansas Senate race (Kalshi 35%, Polymarket 33%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Kansas Senate race | 34% | 35% | 33% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $4.2M
- Spent
- $2.4M
- Cash on hand
- $1.7M
- Outside groups for
- $461K
- Outside groups against
- $2.0M
Through July 15, 2026. $4.1M from individuals, $18K from PACs, $50K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Adam Hamilton →
Polls
In the 2026 Kansas Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Adam Hamilton at 46% against Roger Marshall at 46%, from 6 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
1.4M interactions with posts about Adam Hamilton in the last 24 hours from 438 people; 63% of posts read as positive, up 39% on last week.
- Our @DashaBurns spoke with Kansas Democratic senate candidate Adam Hamilton about his past comments that people should eat less meat to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 🎧The Conversation: POLITICO · tweet
- JUST IN: Democratic Senate nominee Adam Hamilton tells Kamala Harris to “stay in California” rather than campaign for him in Kansas. Polymarket · tweet
- 2026 Dem Senate recruits tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Adam Hamilton, Roy Cooper, Mary Peltola A Tier: James Talarico, Sherrod Brown, Josh Turek, Dan Osborn B Tier: Annie Andrews, Angie Nixon C Tier: Abdul El-Saye David · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
