What are Addison McDowell's chances of winning the 2026 NC-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Addison McDowell a 91% chance (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 93%).

How much money has Addison McDowell raised?

Addison McDowell's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $382K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NC

Addison McDowell

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Addison McDowell (Republican) a 91% chance of winning the 2026 NC-06 House race (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 93%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-06 House race	91%	90%	93%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.2M
Spent: $852K
Cash on hand: $382K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $590K from individuals, $516K from PACs. FEC filings for Addison McDowell →

Running against

Cyril Jefferson9%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.