What are Cyril Jefferson's chances of winning the 2026 NC-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Cyril Jefferson a 9% chance (Kalshi 10%, Polymarket 8%).

How much money has Cyril Jefferson raised?

Cyril Jefferson's campaign has raised $200K and has $14K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NC

Cyril Jefferson

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Cyril Jefferson (Democrat) a 9% chance of winning the 2026 NC-06 House race (Kalshi 10%, Polymarket 8%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-06 House race	9%	10%	8%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $200K
Spent: $186K
Cash on hand: $14K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $181K from individuals, $5K from PACs. FEC filings for Cyril Jefferson →

Recent headlines

Jefferson County GOP opens new party headquarters ahead of November midterm elections WTOV · Oct 3

Running against

Addison McDowell91%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.