What are Amish Shah's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Amish Shah a 80% chance (Kalshi 80%, Polymarket 80%).

How much money has Amish Shah raised?

Amish Shah's campaign has raised $1.8M and has $402K cash on hand, through July 1, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · AZ

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Amish Shah (Democrat) a 80% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-01 House race (Kalshi 80%, Polymarket 80%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-01 House race	80%	80%	80%	▲ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 1, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $146K from PACs, $431K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Amish Shah →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.