What are Jay Feely's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jay Feely a 20% chance (Kalshi 20%, Polymarket 19%).

How much money has Jay Feely raised?

Jay Feely's campaign has raised $2.5M and has $794K cash on hand, through July 31, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AZ

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jay Feely (Republican) a 20% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-01 House race (Kalshi 20%, Polymarket 19%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-01 House race	20%	20%	19%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 31, 2026. $1.3M from individuals, $323K from PACs, $330K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Thomas James Feely →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.