What are Andy Harris's chances of winning the 2026 MD-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Andy Harris a 90% chance (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 90%).

How much money has Andy Harris raised?

Andy Harris's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $1.9M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MD

Andy Harris

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Andy Harris (Republican) a 90% chance of winning the 2026 MD-01 House race (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 90%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MD-01 House race	90%	90%	90%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $1.2M
Cash on hand: $1.9M
Outside groups for: $15K
Outside groups against: $44K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.8M from individuals, $443K from PACs. FEC filings for Andrew P Harris →

Polls

In the 2026 MD-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Andy Harris at 52% against Dan Schwartz at 39%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-27).

Recent headlines

WATCH: Dem senators dodge backing Kamala Harris in potential 2028 run: ‘Very messy’ Fox News · Oct 4

Running against

Dan Schwartz10%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.