What are Dan Schwartz's chances of winning the 2026 MD-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dan Schwartz a 10% chance (Kalshi 10%, Polymarket 11%).

How much money has Dan Schwartz raised?

Dan Schwartz's campaign has raised $695K and has $73K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MD

Dan Schwartz

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dan Schwartz (Democrat) a 10% chance of winning the 2026 MD-01 House race (Kalshi 10%, Polymarket 11%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MD-01 House race	10%	10%	11%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $695K
Spent: $623K
Cash on hand: $73K
Outside groups for: $5K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $668K from individuals, $12K from PACs, $16K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Daniel Schwartz →

Polls

In the 2026 MD-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Dan Schwartz at 39% against Andy Harris at 52%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-27).

Running against

Andy Harris90%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.