Republican · IA
Ashley Hinson
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ashley Hinson (Republican) a 57% chance of winning the 2026 Iowa Senate race (Kalshi 56%, Polymarket 57%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Iowa Senate race | 57% | 56% | 57% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $10.2M
- Spent
- $5.4M
- Cash on hand
- $6.7M
- Outside groups for
- $9.2M
- Outside groups against
- $25.1M
Through June 30, 2026. $5.3M from individuals, $2.2M from PACs. FEC filings for Ashley Hinson Arenholz →
Polls
In the 2026 Iowa Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Ashley Hinson at 46% against Josh Turek at 47%, from 11 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
245K interactions with posts about Ashley Hinson in the last 24 hours from 55 people; 47% of posts read as positive, down 78% on last week.
- Ashley Hinson, the Republican Senate nominee in Iowa, is distancing herself from President Donald Trump's stance on Iran, hinting at a rare party divide on foreign policy. CNN · tiktok-video
- An Blue Dot Iowa Farmer Rips into Trump & Ashley Hinson. DuhBraux · reddit-post
- Data Center HYPOCRISY From Republican Ashley Hinson Swamp Watch · youtube-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Josh Turek43%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
