Democrat · IA
Josh Turek
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Josh Turek (Democrat) a 43% chance of winning the 2026 Iowa Senate race (Kalshi 44%, Polymarket 43%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Iowa Senate race | 43% | 44% | 43% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $6.3M
- Spent
- $3.9M
- Cash on hand
- $2.4M
- Outside groups for
- $12.3M
- Outside groups against
- $14.2M
Through June 30, 2026. $5.8M from individuals, $378K from PACs. FEC filings for Joshua Turek →
Polls
In the 2026 Iowa Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Josh Turek at 47% against Ashley Hinson at 46%, from 11 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
682K interactions with posts about Josh Turek in the last 24 hours from 165 people; 65% of posts read as positive, up 10% on last week.
- 2026 Dem Senate recruits tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Adam Hamilton, Roy Cooper, Mary Peltola A Tier: James Talarico, Sherrod Brown, Josh Turek, Dan Osborn B Tier: Annie Andrews, Angie Nixon C Tier: Abdul El-Saye David · tweet
- Iowa doesn't want open borders and higher taxes. Josh Turek and the socialists do. Take 15 seconds, make your plan to vote by mail or in person. It’s time to DEFEAT Turek! America · tweet
- Josh Turek and the socialists will open our borders, raise our taxes and spend our money on sex changes for kids. Don't let your couch elect Turek. Make your plan to VOTE AGAINST Josh Turek on November 3! America · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
