What are Benjamin Ambrose's chances of winning the 2026 MI-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Benjamin Ambrose a 1% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 1%).

How much money has Benjamin Ambrose raised?

Benjamin Ambrose's campaign has raised $85K and has $22K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MI

Benjamin Ambrose

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Benjamin Ambrose (Democrat) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 MI-02 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 1%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MI-02 House race	1%	2%	1%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $85K
Spent: $63K
Cash on hand: $22K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $85K from individuals, $250 from PACs. FEC filings for Benjamin Ambrose →

Running against

John Moolenaar99%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.