Republican · MI
John Moolenaar
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Moolenaar (Republican) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 MI-02 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MI-02 House race | 99% | 98% | 99% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.7M
- Spent
- $1.0M
- Cash on hand
- $1.9M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $1.0M from individuals, $549K from PACs. FEC filings for John Moolenaar →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
