Republican · AK
Bernadette Wilson
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bernadette Wilson (Republican) a 19% chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor race (Kalshi 20%, Polymarket 19%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Alaska governor race | 19% | 20% | 19% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Social buzz
18K interactions with posts about Bernadette Wilson in the last 24 hours from 28 people; 84% of posts read as positive, up 543% on last week.
- Shocking: Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson by 20 points in new poll #shorts Anthony's Election Center · youtube-video
- New - Governor poll - Alaska 🔵 Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 40% 🔴 Bernadette Wilson 20% 🔴 Dave Bronson 15% 🔴 Treg Taylor 11% Siena (B+) - LV - 10/1 News Now · tweet
- Bernadette Wilson sold herself as a "business owner who gets cash flow." Reality: $57K unpaid fuel bill, $20K in BOUNCED CHECKS, PFD garnished for 2 YEARS. She stiffed a charity auction out of $4K for lunch with the Gov Richard Smith · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins76%
- Mary Peltola0%
- Dave Bronson2%
- Tom Begich1%
- Treg Taylor1%
- Bill Walker0%
- Lesil McGuire0%
- James Parkin0%
- Click Bishop0%
- Adam Crum0%
- Matt Heilala0%
- Edna DeVries0%
- Shelley Hughes0%
- Matthew Claman0%
- Lisa Murkowski0%
- Hank Kroll0%
- Bruce Walden0%
- Gregg Brelsford0%
- Jessica Faircloth0%
- Destry J. Payne Sr.0%
- Nancy Dahlstrom0%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
