What are Brian Miller's chances of winning the 2026 MT-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brian Miller a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Brian Miller raised?

Brian Miller's campaign has raised $19K and has $3K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MT

Brian Miller

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brian Miller (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 MT-02 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MT-02 House race	5%	6%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $19K
Spent: $15K
Cash on hand: $3K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $13K from individuals, $1K from PACs, $5K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Brian James Miller →

Polls

In the 2026 MT-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Brian Miller at 26% against Troy Downing at 48%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-07).

Running against

Troy Downing95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.