Republican · NY
Bruce Blakeman
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bruce Blakeman (Republican) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 New York governor race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 New York governor race | 5% | 5% | 4% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 New York governor race, the Parlay polling average has Bruce Blakeman at 40% against Kathy Hochul at 54%, from 4 polls (newest ended 2026-09-20).
Social buzz
1.1M interactions with posts about Bruce Blakeman in the last 24 hours from 286 people; 59% of posts read as positive, down 22% on last week.
- Star Dem-backer Debra Messing endorses GOP's Bruce Blakeman for NY governor: 'What we need' New York Post · tweet
- "Will & Grace" actress and liberal Democrat, Debra Messing, is snubbing Kathy Hochul and instead backing Republican Bruce Blakeman for New York Governor. Wow. Debra Messing voting R was not on my bingo card today, or any Pamela Hensley🇺🇸 · tweet
- NYP: Anti-Trump actress Debra Messing endorses Republican Bruce Blakeman for New York governor Josh Caplan · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
- Blakeman vows to ban transgender students in girls’ school bathrooms and lockers in NY New York Post · Oct 3
- Trump’s Upstate NY trip to help Blakeman is play to save Republican House seats New York Post · Oct 3
Running against
- Kathy Hochul95%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
