What are Bruce Westerman's chances of winning the 2026 AR-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bruce Westerman a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Bruce Westerman raised?

Bruce Westerman's campaign has raised $2.6M and has $4.7M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AR

Bruce Westerman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bruce Westerman (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 AR-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AR-04 House race	97%	97%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.6M
Spent: $928K
Cash on hand: $4.7M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $864K from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Bruce Westerman →

Running against

James Russell3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.