What are James Russell's chances of winning the 2026 AR-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give James Russell a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has James Russell raised?

James Russell's campaign has raised $6K and has $907 cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · AR

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give James Russell (Democrat) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 AR-04 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AR-04 House race	3%	3%	2%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $4K from individuals, $2K from PACs. FEC filings for James Richard Mr Russell III →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.