Republican · FL
Byron Donalds
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Byron Donalds (Republican) a 76% chance of winning the 2026 Florida governor race (Kalshi 76%, Polymarket 76%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Florida governor race | 76% | 76% | 76% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Florida governor race, the Parlay polling average has Byron Donalds at 47% against David Jolly at 43%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-27).
Social buzz
2.3M interactions with posts about Byron Donalds in the last 24 hours from 873 people; 68% of posts read as positive, down 5% on last week.
- WSJ: Florida Republican gubernatorial nominee Byron Donalds was once expected to cruise to victory over Democrat David Jolly Now his top donors are getting nervous. At a private retreat in Miami last month, Donalds told Republicans against Trump · tweet
- Grandma Asks Byron Donalds For A Law Forcing Her Daughter To Let Her See Her Grandson Tom Powell Jr · youtube-video
- NEW — As Florida’s governor race tightens, Byron Donalds has stripped prominent Trump references from his campaign website while highlighting support from Gov. Ron DeSantis, per the @WSJ. VoteHub · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- David Jolly24%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
