What are Charlie Hatcher's chances of winning the 2026 TN-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Charlie Hatcher a 92% chance (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 93%).

How much money has Charlie Hatcher raised?

Charlie Hatcher's campaign has raised $720K and has $105K cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TN

Charlie Hatcher

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Charlie Hatcher (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 TN-05 House race (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 93%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-05 House race	92%	91%	93%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $720K
Spent: $615K
Cash on hand: $105K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $273K

Through July 17, 2026. $582K from individuals, $4K from PACs, $134K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Charlie Hatcher →

Polls

In the 2026 TN-05 House race, the Parlay polling average has Charlie Hatcher at 48% against Chaz Molder at 40%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-24).

Running against

Chaz Molder8%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.