What are Chaz Molder's chances of winning the 2026 TN-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chaz Molder a 8% chance (Kalshi 9%, Polymarket 7%).

How much money has Chaz Molder raised?

Chaz Molder's campaign has raised $2.6M and has $1.5M cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TN

Chaz Molder

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chaz Molder (Democrat) a 8% chance of winning the 2026 TN-05 House race (Kalshi 9%, Polymarket 7%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-05 House race	8%	9%	7%	▼ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.6M
Spent: $1.1M
Cash on hand: $1.5M
Outside groups for: $34K
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $2.4M from individuals, $216K from PACs. FEC filings for Chaz Molder →

Polls

In the 2026 TN-05 House race, the Parlay polling average has Chaz Molder at 40% against Charlie Hatcher at 48%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-24).

Running against

Charlie Hatcher92%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.