Democrat · NH
Cinde Warmington
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Cinde Warmington (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 New Hampshire governor race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 New Hampshire governor race | 5% | 6% | 5% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 New Hampshire governor race, the Parlay polling average has Cinde Warmington at 41% against Kelly Ayotte at 50%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-22).
Social buzz
91K interactions with posts about Cinde Warmington in the last 24 hours from 22 people; 68% of posts read as positive, down 5% on last week.
- Incredible energy in Rochester alongside Mayor Pete, Cinde Warmington, and Congressman Chris Pappas! Granite Staters are ready for change, and we are fired up to lower costs, protect and restore fundamental rights, and d Stefany Shaheen · tweet
- The line to get into the Rochester Opera House in Rochester, New Hampshire, for a rally featuring Pete Buttigieg, Chris Pappas, Stefany Shaheen, and Cinde Warmington. Adam Wren · tweet
- Teflon Kelly will triumph again. I truly pity Warmington. #NHPolitics Sarah 🗽 Bella for New Hampshire · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Kelly Ayotte95%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
