Republican · NH
Kelly Ayotte
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Ayotte (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 New Hampshire governor race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 New Hampshire governor race | 95% | 94% | 95% | ▼ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 New Hampshire governor race, the Parlay polling average has Kelly Ayotte at 50% against Cinde Warmington at 41%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-22).
Social buzz
107K interactions with posts about Kelly Ayotte in the last 24 hours from 40 people; 54% of posts read as positive, down 30% on last week.
- New Year's Eve 2016, twenty days before the incoming Trump admin, Senators Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), John McCain and Lindsey Graham visited the Donbas civil war frontlines, pledging to #Ukraine preside Alan Watson · tweet
- An 18-point swing between support for @NHDems Chris Pappas for Senate and @NHGOP Kelly Ayotte for governor. --> NH Journal · tweet
- And here's what it looks like compared to the Senate and Governor races Most candidates are running even with expectations however Dan Osborn, Susan Collins, Phil Scott, and Kelly Ayotte are still overperforming like cra David · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
