Democrat · SD
Dan Ahlers
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Dan Ahlers (Democrat) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 South Dakota governor race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 South Dakota governor race | 3% | 3% | 3% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Social buzz
291 interactions with posts about Dan Ahlers in the last 24 hours from 18 people; 23% of posts read as positive.
- South Dakota’s gubernatorial candidates, Gov. Larry Rhoden and Dan Ahlers, faced off Monday in their final debate ahead of Election Day. View the full debate, along with all SDPB/South Dakota News Watch debates, at SDPB News · tweet
- SOUTH DAKOTA POLL SENATE 🟪 Brian Bengs (Ind): 51% 🟥 Mike Rounds (R-inc): 42% —— GOVERNOR 🟥 Larry Rhoden (R-inc): 51% 🟦 Dan Ahlers (D): 44% Lake Research (Dem) | 8/26-30 | LV InteractivePolls · tweet
- Lake Research Partners poll | 8/26-8/30 LV South Dakota statewide races 2026 US Senate ⬜️Brian Bengs 51% 🟥Mike Rounds 42% (incumbent) —— South Dakota Governor 🟥Larry Rhoden 51% (incumbent) 🟦Dan Ahlers 44% —— US House | Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Larry Rhoden97%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
