Republican · SD
Larry Rhoden
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Larry Rhoden (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 South Dakota governor race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 South Dakota governor race | 97% | 97% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Social buzz
2K interactions with posts about Larry Rhoden in the last 24 hours from 22 people; 87% of posts read as positive, up 1856% on last week.
- South Dakota’s gubernatorial candidates, Gov. Larry Rhoden and Dan Ahlers, faced off Monday in their final debate ahead of Election Day. View the full debate, along with all SDPB/South Dakota News Watch debates, at SDPB News · tweet
- 1,400 bison. 25,000 spectators. 60 years of tradition. 🦬 GEODNET's Mike Horton and COO Melissa Nguyen were honored guests of Governor Larry Rhoden at the 61st Annual Governor's Buffalo Roundup at Custer State Park, South GEODNET · tiktok-video
- @Tonicnieznaczy3 I think Thune would dispatch that challenge. South Dakota has shown an appetite for keeping moderate Rs over MAGA candidates. Look at how Larry Rhoden managed to beat out Dusty Johnson and Tody Doeden to Based Liberal ‘Muricaposting 🇺🇸 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
