What are David Brock Smith's chances of winning the 2026 Oregon Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Brock Smith a 2% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has David Brock Smith raised?

David Brock Smith's campaign has raised $121K and has $29K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · OR

David Brock Smith

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Brock Smith (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 Oregon Senate race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 Oregon Senate race	2%	2%	2%	▲ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $121K
Spent: $92K
Cash on hand: $29K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $110K from individuals, $11K from PACs. FEC filings for David Brock Smith →

Recent headlines

Scary That Democrats Still Support Jack Smith Operation RealClearPolitics · Oct 4

Running against

Jeff Merkley98%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.