Democrat · WI
David Crowley
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Crowley (Democrat) a 81% chance of winning the 2026 Wisconsin governor race (Kalshi 80%, Polymarket 82%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Wisconsin governor race | 81% | 80% | 82% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Wisconsin governor race, the Parlay polling average has David Crowley at 49% against Tom Tiffany at 46%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-23).
Social buzz
649K interactions with posts about David Crowley in the last 24 hours from 226 people; 70% of posts read as positive, up 9% on last week.
- January 1, nationwide school choice scholarships start…But NOT in Wisconsin if David Crowley is governor. The federal credit is up to $1,700 a person, $3,400 for a married couple all can be used for tuition, tutoring, ma Scarlett Johnson · tweet
- In Brown Deer, Women for Crowley showed up and showed out! A huge thank you to Congresswoman Gwen Moore, State Rep. Sequanna Taylor, Alderwoman Sharlen Moore, our great hosts: Wanda, Tiffany, Felita, Nicole, and ReDona, David Crowley · tweet
- David Crowley, Democratic candidate for governor of Wisconsin, shares thoughts on improving affordability for people in the state. Watch the full interview: #wipolitics WLUK-TV FOX 11 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Tom Tiffany20%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
