Republican · WI
Tom Tiffany
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Tiffany (Republican) a 20% chance of winning the 2026 Wisconsin governor race (Kalshi 21%, Polymarket 19%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Wisconsin governor race | 20% | 21% | 19% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Wisconsin governor race, the Parlay polling average has Tom Tiffany at 46% against David Crowley at 49%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-23).
Social buzz
613K interactions with posts about Tom Tiffany in the last 24 hours from 234 people; 73% of posts read as positive, down 25% on last week.
- We are 30 days from Election Day, and Team Tiffany surpassed 600,000 doors yesterday. We’re building a common-sense campaign focused on lower taxes, more money in your pocket, and more opportunity across all 72 counties. Tom Tiffany · tweet
- People protested Tom Tiffany & Wied in Green Bay today Mototwitch · reddit-post
- Tom Tiffany called Trump’s tariffs “a real reset” and now Wisconsin families continue to pay higher prices for groceries, tools, and farm equipment. They’re the ones footing the bill. #WIGov #Wispolitics American Bridge 21st Century · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
