Republican · OH
Derek Merrin
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Derek Merrin (Republican) a 30% chance of winning the 2026 OH-09 House race (Kalshi 28%, Polymarket 31%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 OH-09 House race | 30% | 28% | 31% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.5M
- Spent
- $1.1M
- Cash on hand
- $531K
- Outside groups for
- $556K
- Outside groups against
- $1.9M
Through June 30, 2026. $452K from individuals, $117K from PACs, $310K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Derek Merrin →
Polls
In the 2026 OH-09 House race, the Parlay polling average has Derek Merrin at 48% against Marcy Kaptur at 48%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-23).
Social buzz
26K interactions with posts about Derek Merrin in the last 24 hours from 23 people; 70% of posts read as positive, up 396% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Marcy Kaptur70%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
