Democrat · OH
Marcy Kaptur
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Marcy Kaptur (Democrat) a 70% chance of winning the 2026 OH-09 House race (Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 69%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 OH-09 House race | 70% | 72% | 69% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $4.3M
- Spent
- $1.3M
- Cash on hand
- $3.5M
- Outside groups for
- $1.4M
- Outside groups against
- $1.0M
Through June 30, 2026. $2.3M from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Marcy Hon. M.C. Kaptur →
Polls
In the 2026 OH-09 House race, the Parlay polling average has Marcy Kaptur at 48% against Derek Merrin at 48%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-23).
Social buzz
299K interactions with posts about Marcy Kaptur in the last 24 hours from 47 people; 26% of posts read as positive, up 160% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Derek Merrin30%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
