Democrat · OH
Don Leonard
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Don Leonard (Democrat) a 26% chance of winning the 2026 OH-15 House race (Kalshi 26%, Polymarket 25%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 OH-15 House race | 26% | 26% | 25% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $607K
- Spent
- $354K
- Cash on hand
- $252K
- Outside groups for
- $839K
- Outside groups against
- $44K
Through June 30, 2026. $583K from individuals, $11K from PACs, $12K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Don Ralph Leonard →
Polls
In the 2026 OH-15 House race, the Parlay polling average has Don Leonard at 46% against Mike Carey at 45%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-24).
Social buzz
3K interactions with posts about Don Leonard in the last 24 hours from 10 people; 81% of posts read as positive, down 3% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Mike Carey74%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
