Republican · OH
Mike Carey
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Carey (Republican) a 74% chance of winning the 2026 OH-15 House race (Kalshi 74%, Polymarket 75%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 OH-15 House race | 74% | 74% | 75% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $3.3M
- Spent
- $1.4M
- Cash on hand
- $2.1M
- Outside groups for
- $137K
- Outside groups against
- $216K
Through June 30, 2026. $900K from individuals, $1.7M from PACs. FEC filings for Mike Carey →
Polls
In the 2026 OH-15 House race, the Parlay polling average has Mike Carey at 45% against Don Leonard at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-24).
Social buzz
770 interactions with posts about Mike Carey in the last 24 hours from 14 people; 62% of posts read as positive, down 39% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Don Leonard26%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
