What are Doug Chapin's chances of winning the 2026 MN-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Doug Chapin a 6% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Doug Chapin raised?

Doug Chapin's campaign has raised $439K and has $70K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MN

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Doug Chapin (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 MN-06 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 6%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MN-06 House race	6%	5%	6%	▼ 6¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 22, 2026. $357K from individuals, $8K from PACs, $73K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Doug Chapin →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.