What are Ed Gallrein's chances of winning the 2026 KY-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ed Gallrein a 97% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Ed Gallrein raised?

Ed Gallrein's campaign has raised $3.6M and has $179K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · KY

Ed Gallrein

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ed Gallrein (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 KY-04 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KY-04 House race	97%	96%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $3.6M
Spent: $3.4M
Cash on hand: $179K
Outside groups for: $5.4M
Outside groups against: $7.0M

Through June 30, 2026. $3.5M from individuals, $56K from PACs. FEC filings for Ed Gallrein →

Running against

Melissa Claire Strange3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.