What are Melissa Claire Strange's chances of winning the 2026 KY-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Melissa Claire Strange a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Melissa Claire Strange raised?

Melissa Claire Strange's campaign has raised $94K and has $11K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · KY

Melissa Claire Strange

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Melissa Claire Strange (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 KY-04 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KY-04 House race	4%	5%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $94K
Spent: $83K
Cash on hand: $11K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $74K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $20K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Melissa Claire Strange →

Running against

Ed Gallrein96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.