Republican · AZ
Eli Crane
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eli Crane (Republican) a 69% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-02 House race (Kalshi 68%, Polymarket 69%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AZ-02 House race | 69% | 68% | 69% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $9.5M
- Spent
- $7.0M
- Cash on hand
- $2.8M
- Outside groups for
- $587K
- Outside groups against
- $944K
Through July 1, 2026. $8.6M from individuals, $86K from PACs. FEC filings for Eli Crane →
Polls
In the 2026 AZ-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Eli Crane at 49% against Jonathan Nez at 43%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-08-24).
Social buzz
14K interactions with posts about Eli Crane in the last 24 hours from 22 people; 76% of posts read as positive, down 64% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Jonathan Nez31%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
