What are Elinor Gilbreath's chances of winning the 2026 ID-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Elinor Gilbreath a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Elinor Gilbreath raised?

Elinor Gilbreath's campaign has raised $107K and has $71K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · ID

Elinor Gilbreath

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Elinor Gilbreath (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 ID-02 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 ID-02 House race	4%	4%	4%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $107K
Spent: $36K
Cash on hand: $71K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $107K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Elinor Gilbreath →

Running against

Mike Simpson96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.