What are Elizabeth Lee's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Elizabeth Lee a 8% chance (Kalshi 9%, Polymarket 8%).

How much money has Elizabeth Lee raised?

Elizabeth Lee's campaign has raised $153K and has $27K cash on hand, through July 1, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · AZ

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Elizabeth Lee (Democrat) a 8% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-05 House race (Kalshi 9%, Polymarket 8%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-05 House race	8%	9%	8%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 1, 2026. $148K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $5K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Elizabeth Lee →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.