What are Mark Lamb's chances of winning the 2026 AZ-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Lamb a 92% chance (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 92%).

How much money has Mark Lamb raised?

Mark Lamb's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $243K cash on hand, through July 1, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AZ

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Lamb (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-05 House race (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 92%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AZ-05 House race	92%	91%	92%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 1, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $70K from PACs, $40K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mark Lamb →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.