Democrat · AR
Hallie Shoffner
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Hallie Shoffner (Democrat) a 7% chance of winning the 2026 Arkansas Senate race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 7%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Arkansas Senate race | 7% | 7% | 7% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.3M
- Spent
- $1.4M
- Cash on hand
- $864K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $3.4M
Through June 30, 2026. $2.2M from individuals, $11K from PACs. FEC filings for Hallie Shoffner →
Polls
In the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Hallie Shoffner at 41% against Tom Cotton at 48%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-08-18).
Social buzz
55K interactions with posts about Hallie Shoffner in the last 24 hours from 40 people; 70% of posts read as positive, down 61% on last week.
- ARKANSAS SENATE WINNER ODDS: 🟥 Tom Cotton: 93% 🟦 Hallie Shoffner: 7% Kalshi Politics · tweet
- Hallie Shoffner calls Tom Cotton ObviousCartoonist107 · reddit-post
- @KalshiPolitics Hallie Shoffner Democrats Party support for her Ms President Kamala Harris 2028 Is On November Election Day Say yes 👍 Cody Sullivan · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Tom Cotton93%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
