Republican · AR
Tom Cotton
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Cotton (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination (Kalshi 0%, Polymarket 1%). Tom Cotton also appears in 1 other market below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 1% | 0% | 1% | — |
| 2026 Arkansas Senate race | 93% | 93% | 93% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $6.2M
- Spent
- $3.8M
- Cash on hand
- $9.9M
- Outside groups for
- $591K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $3.2M from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Thomas Cotton →
Polls
In the 2026 Arkansas Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Tom Cotton at 48% against Hallie Shoffner at 41%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-08-18).
Social buzz
8.8M interactions with posts about Tom Cotton in the last 24 hours from 1K people; 66% of posts read as positive, up 1485% on last week.
- Furious Trump doxes Sen. Tom Cotton, releases personal cell number, over bill to end daylight savings New York Post · tweet
- President Trump asked about pressing Sen. Tom Cotton over Daylight Savings Time vote USA TODAY · youtube-video
- Trump lashes out at Cotton over Daylight Saving Time WHAS11 · youtube-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
- Furious Trump doxes Sen. Tom Cotton, releases personal cell number, over bill to end daylight savings New York Post · Oct 4
- Trump releases Tom Cotton’s cellphone number over daylight savings bill Washington Examiner · Oct 3
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
