Democrat · NJ

Herb Conaway

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Herb Conaway (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 NJ-03 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 NJ-03 House race97%98%97%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$935K
Spent
$533K
Cash on hand
$439K
Outside groups for
$0
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $431K from individuals, $501K from PACs. FEC filings for Herb Md Conaway →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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